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September 13, 2010 / Jeb

S&P Reaching Key Resistance As It Is The Third Attempt Above 200 Day Moving Average

Price volume action is showing weakness on this rally and there is a good chance we could see a third failure at the 200 day.  Many times, before bear markets ensue you can encounter three or four failed rallies above the 200 day before the primary bullish trend is reversed. Markets take time to transition from a bull to a bear market. Bullish mania wears down as repetitive failures shows a market that is losing confidence.  On each subsequent rally the amount of bargain hunters dwindle.  Price volume action is poor on this rally attempt.  If we see another failure- which I believe may occur- we could see a major trend change.

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