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August 23, 2010 / Jeb

Charting S&P 500 and Gold: What to look for Short term?

The rise in equities from March 2009 to April 2010 lacked one key ingredient in a bull market: volume confirmation.  There were many technicians who pontificated why the lack of enthusiasm of the uptrend existed.  Some said that it was the 2008 de-leveraging of hedge funds that caused the decreased participation.  I was never convinced of this far fetched  argument because on each correction volume increased significantly.  I’ve been skeptical of the claim that this time will be different. While studying charts over the years, one indicator I am always loyal to is volume.  It is the enthusiasm in a market which shows if a rally or decline is convincing.

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